You supposed to have a healthy fear for the falling cent. That's natural. It's very normal. It will save you the territory of having an economy. Economies rise and fall, wax and get worse.
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The problem is that there is nothing at all unusual or significant with the fact that some average became the top rated. After all, we tested almost fifty associated with against drinks . data, so we'd anticipate finding a few good performers, just inadvertently. It doesn't mean there's anything special about experienced moving average that "won" in this example. The problem arises because we tested multiple hypotheses until discovered one that worked, as an alternative to choosing a person hypothesis and testing the software.
Yesterday (July 13, 2009) Evolving Gold edison lithium corp (EVG.V) a Canadian junior mining company, released very positive news after the bell. Today the stock is trading 15 million shares versus the regular few hundred thousand shares per life. Mid morning today the stock is up 42%. The so-called "herd" is day trading investing like crazy and making some you lots of bucks too. It happens to be easier to make money when a standard is very liquid and trading substantially.
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Data Mining involves searching through data in order to locate patterns and find out possible correlations between rules. In the example above involving the 20-day moving average strategy, we just came on the top of that particular indicator from your blue, but suppose we got no idea what form of strategy we wanted to experience? That's when data mining comes in handy. We could search through our historical data on GBP/USD to determine how dependent behaved after it crossed quite a few moving averages. We could check price movements against many other kinds of indicators too and see which ones correspond to large price movements.
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